Sunday, October 15, 2017

What percent of white women voted for Trump - really?

I’d read that 53% of white women voted for Trump and 45% of college-educated white women. I’ve quoted those numbers. Today I looked for an update. It was a bit harder than I expected, many numbers didn’t split out the white from non-white vote. In Jan 2017 FiveThirtyEight wrote

…Trump won among white women by an average of 6.5 percentage points, according to exit polls, and he did particularly well with white women without a college degree, winning among that group by about 24 percentage points…

That article cited a CNN exit poll last updated Nov 23 2016. It had what I was looking for:




The numbers that stand out for me …

  • 94% of black women voted for Clinton. Sanity lives in one cohort.
  • 44% of college-grad white women voted Trump. I’d thought it was closer to 50%. This is still horrible of course.
  • The white gender gap is smaller than I thought — 10%. White women are almost as a bad as white men.
  • Among whites college made a 17% difference - much bigger than gender.
  • 53% white college men voted T vs. 61% white non-college women. Among all whites college was a 17% gap. Education (or cognitive ability) was more important than gender.
  • There’s a 48% gap between black and white women T voters. Sisterhood died in 2016.
  • And, yes, 52% of white women, the majority, did make a horrible mistake.

The CNN page is worth remembering - my memory was only off by 1%. My takeaway was that race mattered above all, next education (or cognitive ability), and least of all gender.

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