Monday, May 09, 2005

On Al Qaeda in 2004 and Eckankar in 1979: the believers and the cynics

VOA News - US Forces Arrest Key Insurgents in Iraq

A US Colonel reports that captured insurgents are often quite cooperative:
Colonel Chase reports that the mid- and higher-level insurgent leaders are more likely to provide information than lower-level insurgents, who, he says, are often more ideologically committed than their leaders. 'These are not ten-feet-tall dedicated, die-hard terrorists for the most part, particularly the higher in the level,' he said. 'Certainly, the low level (insurgents) appear to be people that are dedicated to a cause, but the mid- and high-level (insurgents) are very quick to turn on each other.'
Ordinarily I'd write this off as good basic propaganda practice. Except, it reminds of me of something from a past life.

As a college student who looked remarkably naive and even younger than his young years, I was often approached by a variety of cult recruiters, from Eckankar to the Moonies to the Scientologists. For some reason I enjoyed attending cult meetings (I had no money, so my hobbies had to be inexpensive) and I'd routinely accept if I had the time -- excepting remote compounds where one might have a long hard walk home.

What I discovered was that the initiates and lower level staffers were genuine true believers. Unsurprisingly they were often wounded and troubled. Above them, however, were a revolting set of cynics who, I suspect, enjoyed the perks of power. To most adults these rotters were quite unconvincing, but they knew how to manipulate the vulnerable. They were also good at spotting ringers like me, and making sure we weren't invited to the "next level".

I can believe that a terrorist/insurgent organization might have quite a bit in common with those cults. Troubled, lost souls to blow themselves up -- true believers all. Above them, the most vile of cowards.

Which is to say, maybe Colonel Chase is telling the truth after all.

Grokker - Visualizing search results

Grok Faughnan

Grok was coined by Robert Heinlein, in 'A Stranger in a Strange Land'. It had a meaning of deep & mystical understanding. Good name for a visualization tool.

This was a commercial product, but now it runs in Java for free (ad supported). They're using Yahoo for results. I've tested in Firefox PC, I'll try Mac in an update.

The above search is on my last name; a handy testing tool for me! :-).

Grokker is certainly interesting. I'll play with it.

Krugman nails the Bush "plan" for social security: future cuts to prevent ... future cuts?!

The Final Insult - New York Times
But Mr. Bush isn't calling for small sacrifices now. Instead, he's calling for zero sacrifice now, but big benefit cuts decades from now - which is exactly what he says will happen if we do nothing. Let me repeat that: to avert the danger of future cuts in benefits, Mr. Bush wants us to commit now to, um, future cuts in benefits.
At last, someone noticed this. The alleged "Bush plan" now (supposedly) calls for means testing benefits and cutting them for the "wealthy". All very fine and progressive, but it's a benefit cut. It also emphatically demonstrates that government can't be trusted to fill the "deal" for past benefits; though I assume this could be "grandfathered" (in which case it might not help very much).

Even if I had an ounce of faith and trust in President Bush, I'd still look askance at this "plan". Since I have zero faith or trust in Bush or the Republican Party, it's a non-starter. The odd disadvantage of one-party government is that there's no true negotiation, hence no basis for trust -- especially given Bush's track record. The professor continues with devastating hits:
Suppose you're a full-time Wal-Mart employee, earning $17,000 a year. You probably didn't get any tax cut. But Mr. Bush says, generously, that he won't cut your Social Security benefits.

Suppose you're earning $60,000 a year. On average, Mr. Bush cut taxes for workers like you by about $1,000 per year. But by 2045 the Bush Social Security plan would cut benefits for workers like you by about $6,500 per year. Not a very good deal.

Suppose, finally, that you're making $1 million a year. You received a tax cut worth about $50,000 per year. By 2045 the Bush plan would reduce benefits for people like you by about $9,400 per year. We have a winner!

Worldometers: what's happening now

worldometers.info

Births, deaths, books, military expenditures. Updated in simulated "real time". Clever.

Sunday, May 08, 2005

More Dyer articles posted

Dyer 2005 Articles

Another batch of Dyer articles have been posted. I'd love to have a free way to create an RSS feed off this cryptic web site.

Among the new ones:
India and China
Things We Know Now: Hmm. The Fermi Paradox is beginning to worry people.
Habemus Papam: Radical ideas of human worth.
Nationalism in Asia
Hitler Anniversary: It will be harder to remember now.
Don't Mention the War

Firefox users should disable automatic software installation

Mozilla Arbitrary Code Executation Security Flaw - MozillaZine Talkback

There's a big, nastly, ugly bug in Firefox/Mozilla. At least as bad as the many IE bugs Microsoft routinely patches. Until a fix is out disable automatic software installation:
The Secunia advisory suggests disabling JavaScript as a workaround; however, simply disabling software installation (Web Features panel of the Options/Preferences window in Firefox 1.0.3 or the Content panel in the latest trunk builds) eliminates the problem.

When bulimia was routine? JAD Salts, 1920.

LILEKS (James) Old Newspaper Ads: JAD Salts, 1920s

Lilek's scan of a 1920s ad promotes JAD Salts as a weight loss method. (I love the commentary)

How did they work? I was able to find a recipe, but I'm unsure as to whether they'd induce diarrhea or vomiting or (most likely) both:
Jad Salts. Contains sodium phosphate, sodium and potassium bicarbonates, citric and tartaric acids with a small amount of hexamethylene tetramine. (Wiley's 1001 Tests).
I'd like to know more about the weight loss methods of the 1920s. Was purging socially acceptable?

From Dave Barry to James Lileks - an eclectic local web site

LILEKS (James) Welcome!

I came here via Dave Barry. To my surprise Lileks is James Lileks, a local strib hack stuck with a mildly annoying "neighborly" column. His personal web site is much more interesting than his regular column; he's a man of many interests. His archive of old Ads and comics are fascinating (don't miss the Philip Morris comics!).

Saturday, May 07, 2005

Vonage -- don't use it quite yet

evhead: Vonage is from hell

Abysmal customer service, poor quality. Voice over IP has a way to go still. Strictly for those with more time than money, and a yen to suffer.

Nic Wolff's site-specific password generator

Password generatorI blogged on this some months ago, but it's worth noting that Nic has updated his utility. Instead of using a disposable password on every single medium security web site, use your disposable password to create unique site specific passwords.

Focusing techniques for distractable folk

Concentrating while studying

This is part of a study guide site for students. Works for adult knowledge workers too. For me the iPod and noise cancelling headphones are quite helpful.

Germany and the tyranny of the banks - Gunter Grass

The Gravest Generation - New York Times, GÃœNTER GRASS May 7, 2005

I hope this sounded better in the original German (emphases mine):
TOMORROW, it will be 60 years to the day since the German Reich's unconditional surrender. That is equivalent to a working life with a pension to look forward to. It goes so far back that memory, that wide-meshed sieve, is in danger of forgetting it.

Sixty years ago, after being wounded in the chaotic retreat in Lausitz, I lay in a hospital with a flesh wound in my right thigh and a bean-sized shell splinter in my right shoulder...

.... Now, I believe that our freely elected members of Parliament are no longer free to decide. The customary party pressures are not particularly present in Germany; it is, rather, the ring of lobbyists with their multifarious interests that constricts and influences the Federal Parliament and its democratically elected members, placing them under pressure and forcing them into disharmony, even when framing and deciding the content of laws. Consequently, Parliament is no longer sovereign in its decisions. It is steered by the banks and multinational corporations - which are not subject to any democratic control.

What's needed is a democratic desire to protect Parliament against the pressures of the lobbyists by making it inviolable. But are our parliamentarians still sufficiently free to make a decision that would bring radical democratic constraint? Or is our freedom now no more than a stock market profit?

... We can only hope we will be able to cope with today's risk of a new totalitarianism, backed as it is by the world's last remaining ideology. As conscious democrats, we should freely resist the power of capital, which sees mankind as nothing more than something which consumes and produces. Those who treat their donated freedom as a stock market profit have failed to understand what May 8 teaches us every year.

Günter Grass, the author of "The Tin Drum" and, most recently, "Crabwalk," won the Nobel Prize in Literature in 1999. This article was translated from the German by UPS Translations.
So Germany is now enslaved by international capitalism and the banks? That seems strangely familiar.

I'd have preferred if he'd framed these problems in terms of political corruption and de facto bribery, a problem we face in the US, rather than invoking images of a mysterious conspiracy of international capitalism.

Update 5/8/05: I wasn't the only person to find Grass' writing disturbing. Brad DeLong is a bit more direct.

Friday, May 06, 2005

Stories from Mosul

Michael Yon : Online Magazine: The Battle For Mosul
LTC Kurilla ran to the burning Stryker, threw off his protective gear and helmet, leading a swarm of soldiers atop and over the burning hulk, in a determined push to get their buddies out. Kurilla dropped himself down a top hatch, to get into the burning Stryker, while men passed up fire extinguishers and even bottles of water.
The author also alleges that some US associated journalists ("stringers") are working with the insurgency; I interpreted his blog to say that the soldiers have killed persons videotaping destroyed army vehicles:
Just a few weeks earlier, when another of Kurilla's Strykers was hit by an SVBIED, a camera crew arrived on scene. As a man pumped an AK, an American sniper killed him, wounding the cameraman in the process. When it was later learned that the cameraman was a stringer for CBS who had close ties with the enemy, CBS apologized on the air.

Just as we pulled out, people arrived with cameras and began shooting footage of the scene. One of the men, whom we later learned was an Associated Press correspondent with known ties to the enemy, is dead now. The associate scavenging with him was seriously wounded.
This is an interesting voice, and a novel perspective. I've added it to my bloglines collection.

AP photo of the dying girl in the arms of Major Bieger

Michael Yon : Online Magazine: Little Girl

The Associated Press has featured a photo of an Iraqi girl being cradled in the arms of an American soldier. She died, a victim of a terrorist attack. (Attacks on US forces are insurgent attacks, attacks on Iraqi civilians are terrorist attacks. I think the distinction is fairly clear, but the media seems to stick with insurgent these days.)

The photographer has a blog. Here he displays the photo and the story of the soldier.
Major Mark Bieger found this little girl after the car bomb that attacked our guys while kids were crowding around. The soldiers here have been angry and sad for two days. They are angry because the terrorists could just as easily have waited a block or two and attacked the patrol away from the kids.

Instead, the suicide bomber drove his car and hit the Stryker when about twenty children were jumping up and down and waving at the soldiers. Major Bieger, I had seen him help rescue some of our guys a week earlier during another big attack, took some of our soldiers and rushed this little girl to our hospital. He wanted her to have American surgeons and not to go to the Iraqi hospital. She didn't make it. I snapped this picture when Major Bieger ran to take her away.

He kept stopping to talk with her and hug her.The soldiers went back to that neighborhood the next day to ask what they could do. The people were very warming and welcomed us into their homes, and many kids were actually running up to say hello and to ask soldiers to shake hands. Eventually, some insurgents must have realized we were back and started shooting at us. The American soldiers and Iraqi police started engaging the enemy and there was a running gun battle. I saw at least one IP who was shot, but he looked okay and actually smiled at me despite the big bullet hole in his leg. I smiled back. One thing seems certain; the people in that neighborhood share our feelings about the terrorists. We are going to go back there, and if any terrorists come out, the soldiers hope to find them. Everybody is still very angry that the insurgents attacked us when the kids were around. Their day will come.

Autism and the Corbett blood chemistry study

Be the Best You can Be: Autism and the Corbett blood chemistry study

Applying mass analysis to develop a statistic signature predictive of autism. A novel approach!