Friday, November 27, 2009
Lagrangian finance and age of wonders
Wednesday, November 25, 2009
Left Behind: Ludd, Beck and the non-tribal roots of tea party rage
- Gordon's Notes: Emily's new cell phone and the cost of complexity
- Gordon's Notes: Health insurance: we're defeated by a complexity attack
- Gordon's Notes: Employment benefit complexity: we are sheep
- Gordon's Notes: The Empire Strikes Back: complexity, mobile phone plans, and Apple defeated
- Gordon's Notes: The hidden insurance problem: they can play the game better than we can
- Gordon's Notes: A smart mind is a dangerous thing to waste
My Saint Paul Minnesota speeding ticket – emergent solutions to emergent consequences
A few weeks back I got my first ticket in over 12 years, for speeding on a notoriously deceptive stretch of highway 35E (it even has a Wikipedia reference under speed limits). For a week or two around the time I was dinged that stretch of road showed caught cars every time I passed.
There were, of course, lots of mitigating factors, but the biggest one was that I’m really dependent on cruise control and mine broke about a month ago. Probably from overuse.
Once upon a time, if you had an average income, a speeding ticket was an painful annoyance. Then it began to dramatically increase insurance costs. Later, as the world became more risk-adjusted and networked, speeding ticket questions began to show up on applications for life insurance, foster care, and I suspect, many more forms.
So the secondary costs of a modern speeding ticket are much higher than the list price. I decided to poke around rather than pay immediately.
Google and the rest were not helpful. This search topic turns up mostly misinformation (it will be interesting to see if this post helps!). The searches did bring up ads for various legal services, and my first instinct was to pay for some professional advice. The more I looked, however, the less savory that industry seemed. In the end I decided to “contest” the ticket. This is the story of what I saw of the system, and how an “emergent” solution was developed to the secondary costs of speeding tickets.
There’s a common myth that when you contest a ticket you appear before a judge along with the accusing officer. At this time you can supposedly argue about radar technologies and so on, but if the officer doesn’t show up your citation will be waived. That’s not how it works in Saint Paul.
You phone a number (no web) on the ticket and you’re given a hearing date with an administrative official. You can change the date; I had to due to a travel conflict. If you run late there’s an extra $5 late fee. (I think you can “appeal” this decision and end up in a real courtroom, but I didn’t go that far.)
The hearings take place on 15 West Kellogg, in the city court house. It’s an imposing structure with a vast ceiling and black marble columns bearing the names of dead warriors. It reminded me of a scene from the movie Brazil.
I joined about ten others sitting in a mildly gloomy room. There’s a display showing names and appointments, on which my name did not appear. Turns out that’s for the court, not for traffic citation. Most everyone else there seemed to know what to do; at around 8am a set of metal windows crash upwards and you cue up for a hearing slot.
Despite being last in line I was called in at my appointed time. I’d rehearsed my responses, but this was the complete discussion: “The speeding was an accident, I have a good record …” “You mean you were accidentally speeding?” “Yes". “Give me your license”.
The system, it turns out, has developed a solution to the problem of the increasingly heavy consequences of a speeding ticket. The solution was that I agreed to pay $188 (I don’t know how the total was calculated, it might be more than the ticket price) and the citation, for the moment, no longer exists. If I get another ticket in the next year it will restored and I will have to pay both. So local government gets at least the money the ticket would have generated, and if I make another mistake they get double the money. On the other hand, I don’t bear the secondary consequences of a modern citation.
An emergent solution to a modern dilemma. Fascinating.
Plus ca change – Non. Twenty years of a solstice letter.
I’ve been writing a “solstice letter” for over 20 years.
During that interval a few things have changed. The first letter would have been written with WordPerfect 3 on a Panasonic* 8086 with a 20MB hard drive. Today my local storage total is roughly 2TB, or about 100,000 times larger. I had email then; I used Norton Commander’s superb MCIMail client with MCI’s pre-internet modem-based mail service. Today I use Gmail.
Oh, and now we have the web.
I’m more interested, however, in what’s not changed. After many years of experimentation I’m back to authoring in a word Processor (Word:Mac) and distributing as a PDF from one of my personal servers. I’d love to have a great web based authoring solution, but there isn’t one. I’d love to have a universal open file format, but there isn’t one.
In this area, progress is only measurable by microscope.
* The most over-engineered device I’ve every purchased. You could park a car on it. Panasonic was threatening to wipe out Compaq in those days, until Congress intervened to block Japanese computer exports. That “saved” US computer manufacturing until Taiwan took it away, and forced Japanese manufacturers to focus on laptops. Adjusting grossly for inflation, it was cheaper than a comparably “higher end” machine would be today. But I digress …
Sunday, November 22, 2009
The shocking truth - the birthers are almost right ...
529 plans can be rebalanced twice in 2009
The Treasury Department and the IRS recently announced that for 2009 only, 529 plan account owners will be allowed to change Investment Options two times per year. This means that you can reallocate your investment to different investment options in your plan up to two times this year...
My Google Reader Shared items (feed)
Lipid guidelines: Sometimes the emperor really is starkers
Today, reading a JAMA editorial by Gaziano and Gaziano (brothers), I see that medicine has caught up with me. The risk calculator approach makes sense, though the models may have problems.
Saturday, November 21, 2009
Sparta and the disturbing flexibility of human culture
Chrome OS - the Parental Controls
When to accept an Apple OS update
Snow Leopard
.... In my experience with Tiger & Leopard, a really usable version isn't available until around the .4 timeframe. My guess is the same will be true with SL. I play with a SL partition every now and then (whilst I test things like SoftRAID - great!), but I need a system that works.
SL ain't there yet, and once again, Steve Jobs and company thank us all very much for paying to be beta testers."Apple's point OS updates, like 10.5 to 10.6, are dramatic; even those like 10.6 that add few marketed features.
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My Google Reader Shared items (feed)
Google's failures - and recent improvements
The Quick
- Search and Scholar
- Android
- Google Reader
- Google Reader Comments and Shares
- Gmail
- Google Contacts
- Google Mobile Sync
- Chrome browser
- Chrome OS
- Picasa and Picasa Web Albums
- Calendar
- Maps
- Earth
- News
- Browser toolbars
- Translate
- Gmail Tasks (promoted)
- Custom search engines (promoted)
- YouTube (promoted)
- Mobile (promoted)
- Google Talk (promoted)
- Books (because they keep trying)
- Google Voice (iPhone web app frozen in time)
- Google Sites
- Google Apps
- Google Video Chat (demoted)
- Blogger (demoted)
- Shopping
- Google Checkout
- Google Base
- Orkut
- Desktop
- iGoogle
- Knol (all-but-dead)
- Google Notebook
- Google Page Creator
- Google Browser Sync
- Google Video
- Google Groups (demoted)
- Google Web Accelerator
- Google Name Verification (Knol)
- Google Gears
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Fans of Glenn Beck
Glenn Beck - Salon.com--
... every person in the last 2 years that I have introduced to the WN [White Nationalist] Philosophy have come largely from Alex Jones, Glen Beck and the Scriptures for America founder Pastor Pete Peters ... Baby steps are required for people like these, but the trio Beck, Jones, Peters are the baby food that feeds potential Nationalists… Glenn Beck is not far behind as his Mormon background indicates to me as most Mormons I have met are not friends of Jews like the Church was years ago...
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Twilight of the mail
My Google Reader Shared items (feed)
Friday, November 20, 2009
Health IT Standards - what I would do
My Google Reader Shared items (feed)
How much is the gBook in the Window?
Q: Do you know what this Chrome OS netbooks will cost?Huh?
SP: You will hear that from our partners. They will be in the price range that people are used to for netbooks today. But it’s hard to predict a year from now. Also remember, they will be bigger.
What ChromeOS Means For Netbooks And Why Microsoft Needs To Be Scared
... ChromeOS may not be powerful, it may not play Far Cry and it may not run Microsoft Office but it’s a game changer. The underpowered laptops that limped along under Vista, XP, or 7 will fly under a new ChromeOS regime and thin-and-light laptops will fall below the vaunted $199 mark as the so-called “Microsoft Tax” – basically the small cost manufacturers pay for OEM licenses – disappears."..The XP tax, by the way, is less than $25.